Is it a foregone conclusion that Barcelona will win the La Liga title with a 1.12-1 handicap? Real Madrid has only one chance left[weirushui]

2025-05-21
On April 27th, Beijing time, the El Clasico of the Spanish King's Cup took place. Barcelona and Real Madrid drew 2-2 in regular time. Barcelona scored the winning goal in extra time to complete their third win against Real Madrid this season and also their 32nd King's Cup title in history! The Copa del Rey has come to an end, and fans' eyes have once again turned to the La Liga title race. There are still five rounds of matches left in this season. Relevant institutions have released the latest odds for winning La Liga. Barcelona is 1 to 1.12, far ahead of others. Real Madrid is 1 to 6, widening the gap. Atletico Madrid is as high as 1 to 81, leaving only a theoretical possibility. Barcelona's performance in April has been on a continuous rise. They have achieved success in all three competitions: cup competitions, league competitions, and the Champions League. They successively defeated Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid in the Copa del Rey, lifting the championship trophy for the 32nd time. They have a league record of 3 wins and 1 draw, leading Real Madrid by 4 points. In the Champions League, they successfully advanced to the semi-finals by defeating Dortmund in both legs. Their morale is truly high! In terms of the odds of winning the championship, Barcelona, which had just overtaken Barcelona in March, is now 1 to 1.12, pulling away and leaving the rest far behind! In contrast, Real Madrid's performance has been less than satisfactory. Despite competing on multiple fronts, they are slightly inferior in every one. Since the beginning of April, they first lost to Real Sociedad in the semi-final of the Copa del Rey. Although they advanced to the final with a last-minute goal in extra time, they were defeated by Barcelona again in the final. They lost 1-2 to Valencia at home in the league. Although they won three consecutive games in the following period, they still widened the points gap with Barcelona. They were eliminated directly by Arsenal in both legs of the Champions League.
Although the two teams are currently only four points apart and there are still five rounds of La Liga to play, it is obvious that the form of the two sides is clearly distinguishable. It is precisely for this reason that the odds for winning La Liga given by institutions have undergone significant changes. Barcelona's odds have plummeted from 1.61 to 1.12, while Real Madrid's odds have risen from 2.75 to 6. The gap between them is evident. However, Real Madrid will play away against Barcelona in the 35th round, and the result of the direct confrontation between the two teams will also become the biggest variable for winning the championship.
Atletico Madrid is currently 10 points behind the top of the table. Theoretically, they still have a chance to win the championship, but judging from their form and strength, the hope is slim. The odds for winning the championship are also very clear, rising from 9.5 to 81 to a high level.