The odds for a top-five race in the Premier League: Gunners have an extremely low bet and are very stable, while Manchester City and Newcastle are tied for second place [YUYI]]
2025-05-12

The Premier League is now in its final stage. With five rounds remaining, Liverpool leads second-place Arsenal by 13 points. If Liverpool can defeat Tottenham at home in the 34th round this weekend, they will be able to win the championship four rounds in advance. After losing to Arsenal in this round, Ipswich, who are in 18th place, is now 15 points behind West Ham United, who are in 17th place. Moreover, due to the significant difference in goal difference, they have actually been relegated along with Leicester City and Southampton in advance. The traditional three major suspense points in the Premier League - the title race, the top-four race and the relegation battle - now only the top-four race remains. As there are five Champions League spots in the Premier League next season, the race for the top four has turned into a battle for the top five. At present, the six teams - Arsenal, Newcastle, Manchester City, Chelsea, Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa - will spare no effort in the last five rounds to secure four Champions League spots.
According to the latest updated odds for a top-five race in the Premier League, Arsenal leads with an ultra-low 1.001 odds. Currently, Chelsea and Villa have a 9-point lead. Arsenal will play at home against Crystal Palace and Bournemouth in the last five rounds of the Premier League, and away against Liverpool, Newcastle United and Southampton, who have already been relegated. It can be said that the Gunners' three consecutive home games at the end of April and the beginning of May are extremely crucial. They not only need to secure a place in next season's Champions League in advance, but also take advantage of the home first and then away schedule in the semi-finals to strive to face the Ligue 1 champion Paris Saint-Germain and gain an advantage in advancing.
Manchester City and Newcastle United are tied for second place in the Premier League with odds of 1.2 for the top five. Manchester City achieved an unbeaten record of 3 wins and 1 draw in the 4 Premier League matches played in April, during which their defense kept a clean sheet in as many as 3 matches. Despite the disadvantage of Erling Haaland's absence, with the return of Kevin De Bruyne, the midfield and forward line of Manchester City have gradually shown a situation of multiple players scoring. Guardiola even called on Manchester City fans to support the team. The last five rounds of the Premier League this season will be regarded as the finals. In the 34th round of the Premier League, they will directly face Villa, a top-five rival. With the Blue Moon maintaining a perfect record in their last 14 home games against Villa, they naturally hope to maintain this psychological advantage and thereby establish an edge in the top-five race. After facing Villa, Manchester City will play at home against Wolverhampton Wanderers and Bournemouth, and away against Southampton and Fulham. The overall difficulty of the opponents is not high.
Although Newcastle United suffered a 1-4 defeat at Villa Park in the last round of the Premier League, they still lead Manchester City, Chelsea and Villa, and are only one point behind the season's dark horse Nottingham Forest. The opportunity and challenge of competing for the top five are both present. After all, Newcastle United's last five rounds of the schedule are not easy. After the home game against Ipswich, The away game against Brighton, the home game against Chelsea, the away game against Arsenal and the home game against Everton are too many tough opponents. This will be a huge test for the lineup configuration of the young manager Eddie Howe.
Nottingham Forest, the biggest dark horse in the Premier League this season, has 1.5 odds in the race for the top five. In the 33rd round of the Premier League, they won 2-1 away against Tottenham. This is the first time since the 1996-97 season that Nottingham Forest has achieved a double win over Tottenham in the league. Elanga has been directly involved in 15 goals in the league this season, setting a new career high. Chris Wood scored 19 goals and ranked third on the Premier League's top scorers list. Nottingham Forest's last five league matches have a schedule of three home games and two away games. They will play at home against Brentford, away against Crystal Palace, at home against Leicester City, away against West Ham United, and in the final game, they will play at home against Chelsea. Whether Nottingham, with financial concerns, will strive for a Champions League spot in the final stage or pragmatically opt for a Europa League qualification will be the biggest variable in their race for the top five.